[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Nov 5 01:00:32 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 050059
SWODY1
SPC AC 050057

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0657 PM CST THU NOV 04 2004

VALID 050100Z - 051200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 E CHS 25 SW FLO 30
N FAY 10 E ORF.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...ERN CAROLINAS...
DESPITE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER AIR MASS ACROSS ERN SECTIONS OF THE
CAROLINAS...WEAK LAPSE RATES AND WIDESPREAD WARM SECTOR RAIN AND
SHOWERS HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO ONLY MEAGER INSTABILITY. THE TRAILING
PORTION OF A STRONG UPPER TROUGH EJECTING ACROSS THE NORTHEAST
TONIGHT WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT EAST AND OFFSHORE THIS EVENING WHILE
A SECONDARY SURFACE LOW INTENSIFIES AND TRACKS NEWD ALONG THE
EASTERN SEABOARD. A LINE OF CONVECTION HAS RECENTLY DEVELOPED ON THE
COLD FRONT OVER NERN NC AND SERN VA. WITH GSO EVENING RAOB SHOWING
WLY MID LEVEL FLOW OF 50KT EVEN LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION WITH LITTLE OR
NO CG LIGHTNING COULD PRODUCE GUSTY SURFACE WINDS WITH FROPA.
HOWEVER...OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO LIMITED IN
SPACE AND TIME TO MAINTAIN A SLGT RISK OVER THE REGION.

..CARBIN.. 11/05/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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