[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 200106
SWODY1
SPC AC 200104

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0804 PM CDT SAT JUN 19 2004

VALID 200100Z - 201200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 4CR 30
SSE SAF 25 E ALS 45 SW COS 35 ENE PUB 30 NW LAA 55 N CAO 30 SSE CVS
4CR.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE DMN 25 N TCS
35 E GNT 10 E DRO 40 NE 4BL U24 50 WNW ELY 25 NNW BIH 40 NE MER 40 W
LOL 95 NNW WMC 35 W BKE 35 SE SLE 15 N ONP ...CONT... 65 NW FCA 20
NE LWT 40 ESE 4BQ 25 W PHP 55 W YKN 20 WNW BIE 20 SW SLN 45 SSE EHA
15 SE LBB 45 S MAF 25 SSW P07.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW GLS 55 WNW LFK
35 SSW PGO 50 N LIT GWO 40 WSW TCL 40 SSE ATL 20 S AVL 40 E HKY 35 N
HSE.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS NERN NM INTO SERN CO...

...CENTRAL/SRN HIGH PLAINS...
SHORT WAVE TROUGH MOVING EWD ACROSS WY/NRN CO WITHIN MODERATE
MID-LEVEL WLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO AID IN ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN WY INTO CO.  ADDITIONAL STORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED ALONG THE HIGHER TERRAIN FROM CO SWD TO CENTRAL NM.  MOIST
SELY UPSLOPE FLOW HAS RESULTED IN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
ACROSS ERN NM/WRN TX TO MARGINAL INSTABILITY ACROSS PORTIONS OF ERN
WY.  GREATEST SEVERE POTENTIAL DURING THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS IS EXPECTED
TO BE ACROSS NERN NM/SERN CO WHERE STRONGEST INSTABILITY COINCIDES
WITH SUFFICIENT DEEP LAYER SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS.

CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY ACROSS WY MAY EVOLVE INTO AN MCS OVERNIGHT AS A
30 KT SLY LLJ DEVELOPS FROM WRN TX TO WRN KS IN RESPONSE TO THE WY
SHORT WAVE TROUGH AND NOCTURNAL DEVELOPMENT OF LLJ.  THIS ACTIVITY
WILL BE MOVING EWD ATOP COOL STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER...WITH ISOLATED
MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL THE MAIN THREAT INTO WRN NEB/NWRN KS.

FARTHER SOUTH...LARGE SCALE ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH WWD MOVING MCV
LOCATED OVER FAR WEST TX /30 ESE GDP/ WILL CONTINUE TO AID IN
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT INTO THE EARLY EVENING ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL-SERN NM AND OVER FAR WEST TX.  THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL BE IN LOCATIONS WHERE THE AIR MASS HAS NOT
BEEN OVERTURNED BY EARLIER CONVECTION. MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
AND 30-40 DEGREE SURFACE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS WILL SUPPORT AN
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND THREAT...THOUGH WEAK DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL
LIMIT SUSTAINED STORM ORGANIZATION.

..PETERS.. 06/20/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.