[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 032012
SWODY1
SPC AC 032010

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0310 PM CDT SAT JUL 03 2004

VALID 032000Z - 041200Z

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW
GCK 25 SW GLD 15 W CYS 20 ENE DGW 25 N RAP 15 ENE PHP 30 N OFK 30
SSW OMA 25 NW EMP 10 W P28 15 SSW GCK.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 NW
UOX 35 SSE MKL 25 W HOP 30 WNW MMO 30 S MKE 20 N GRR 40 SSE FDY 30
NW LOZ 25 NW GAD 20 SW GWO 15 NW UOX.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NE CRP 50 NNE VCT
15 SE ACT 25 W SEP 40 E BGS 20 SSW FST 60 SSW MRF ...CONT... 70 SE
ELP 25 E ELP 20 N ELP 40 SE TCS 25 ENE SVC 30 NE SAD 30 S SOW 15 ENE
SOW 50 SW GNT 30 SSE GUP 25 WSW GUP 55 ENE INW 20 NE INW 55 NNW INW
20 NE GCN 35 WNW GCN 35 SW SGU 35 WNW P38 70 WNW P38 15 SSE TPH 35
NE NID 35 NW EDW 20 E BFL 30 NNE BFL 20 ENE FAT 35 E SCK 35 NE SAC
35 SE RBL 15 SSE RBL 45 ENE UKI 30 ENE UKI 45 WSW RBL 20 ENE ACV 30
WSW MFR 25 SSE RDM 20 SW ALW 35 WSW GEG 70 WNW 4OM ...CONT... 20 NW
ART 20 ENE PSB 30 NNW DCA 30 SSW WAL ...CONT... 15 NE PWM 35 N 3B1
35 NNW CAR.

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE OH / TN
VALLEYS INTO THE SRN LOWER LAKES...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
PLAINS...

...PARTS OF THE OH / TN VALLEYS / SRN UPPER LAKES...
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE ACROSS IND AND
VICINITY AS MOIST / MODERATELY-UNSTABLE AIRMASS EXISTS AHEAD OF
PRONOUNCED UPPER CIRCULATION CENTER AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
MOVING ACROSS ERN IA / WRN IL / NERN MO ATTM.

VERY MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS AND SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL VEERING /
SHEAR SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE
ALONG WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL.  THREAT SHOULD
CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING AS UPPER FEATURE SHIFTS SLOWLY NEWD AND
LOW-LEVEL JET INCREASES ACROSS IND AND INTO WRN OH / LOWER MI. FOR
ADDITIONAL SHORT-TERM INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO SWOMCD 1485.

...PARTS OF THE PLAINS...
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS THE PLAINS THIS
AFTERNOON TO THE S OF FRONT DROPPING SWD OUT OF THE CANADIAN
PRAIRIE.  THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS S
OF THIS BOUNDARY...AND ADDITIONAL SCATTERED TO ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT
IS FORECAST ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS SWD TO W TX AS CAP WEAKENS
LOCALLY.  

WEAKER FLOW ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS SUGGESTS MAINLY PULSE STORMS WITH
A LOCAL HAIL / WIND THREAT.  ALSO...STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SRN
HIGH PLAINS WILL ALSO LIKELY BE PULSE / HIGH-BASED...WITH LOCALLY
DAMAGING WINDS / HAIL THE MAIN THREATS HERE THROUGH MID-EVENING.

SOMEWHAT GREATER SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST FROM ERN WY / SWRN
SD / THE NEB PANHANDLE SEWD ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. STORMS
DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGH PLAINS SHOULD MOVE SEWD...AND THEN INCREASE
THIS EVENING AS LOW-LEVEL JET AND ASSOCIATED WARM ADVECTION
INCREASES OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS.  BELT OF STRONGER /AROUND 40 KT/
WNWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW ACROSS THIS REGION SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO
SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR ORGANIZED / SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
DAMAGING WINDS / HAIL. ALTHOUGH INITIAL STORM MODE SHOULD BE
MULTICELL / SUPERCELL...ONE OR MORE MCSS WILL LIKELY EVOLVE
OVERNIGHT AS STORMS MOVE SEWD ACROSS THE PLAINS.

..GOSS.. 07/03/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.