[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Dec 31 06:09:37 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 310609
SWODY1
SPC AC 310607

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1207 AM CST FRI DEC 31 2004

VALID 311200Z - 011200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NNW AST 15 E EUG
25 SW MFR 40 NW RBL 20 ESE SAC 25 NW FAT 25 N BFL 35 WSW BFL 25 WSW
PRB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 NW GLS 20 SSW LFK
35 SE PGO 40 W UNO 50 ESE TBN 40 NNW POF 25 E POF 35 E JBR 10 WNW
GLH HEZ 30 ENE BTR 10 WNW BVE.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...CA AND ORE COAST...
A CLOSED-OFF UPPER LOW WILL OPEN AND MOVE INLAND ACROSS CA AND ORE
TODAY. THE STRONG ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WAVE AND COLD TEMPS
ALOFT /500 MB TEMPS OF -30 C/ WILL CREATE FAVORABLE CONDITIONS FOR
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE STEEP LAPSE
RATES AND STRONG FORCING WILL SHIFT EWD DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
HOURS AS THE TROUGH MOVES INLAND INTO THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. THIS
WILL ALLOW MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO DECREASE ACROSS THE
REGION BY EARLY THIS EVENING

...LOWER TO MID MS VALLEY...
ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE IN TX AND LA ALLOWING FOR SFC DEWPOINTS
TO SLOWLY RISE TODAY. AS AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH MOVES EWD INTO THE
ROCKIES...LOW TO MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL STRENGTHEN QUICKLY ACROSS TX
AND LA TONIGHT. AS FLOW INCREASES...ANY DISTURBANCE IN THE MID-LEVEL
FLOW COULD SET OFF A FEW THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE PERIOD ACROSS THE
LOWER MS VALLEY AND OZARKS. DUE TO WEAK LAPSE RATES...THE STORMS
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS.

..BROYLES.. 12/31/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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