[SWODY1] SWODY1

[SWODY1 at goshenarc.org]

ACUS01 KWNS 110040
SWODY1
SPC AC 110038

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0638 PM CST FRI DEC 10 2004

VALID 110100Z - 111200Z

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 W FMY 20 SSE VRB.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NE ORF 45 N ORF 20
ESE NHK 30 NNW SBY 15 E PHL 15 NNE EWR 30 E POU 15 SSW ORH 10 NE
BOS.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 SW RIC 20 NNW SOP
50 SSE CLT 20 NNW CAE 25 NW AGS 20 NW MCN 10 NNW CSG 30 NW AUO 20 N
ANB 35 WSW CHA 35 WNW CSV 35 W LOZ 15 NNW JKL 25 ENE CRW EKN 40 NNE
SHD 25 NE CHO 60 SW RIC.

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SRN/CNTRL APPALACHIANS...
DESPITE STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT ON CYCLONIC SHEAR SIDE OF
MID LEVEL JET CORE...TSTMS WERE DIMINISHING RAPIDLY ACROSS THE SRN
AND CNTRL APPALACHIANS THIS EVENING. EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE
WITH DIURNAL WEAKENING OF INSTABILITY BEING FURTHER EXHAUSTED BY
LARGE SCALE OVERTURNING.

...MID ATLANTIC TO SRN NEW ENGLAND...
INTENSE UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE/DIVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE LARGE SCALE
TROUGH AND WITHIN EXIT REGION OF UPPER JET WILL CONTINUE TO
TRANSLATE NEWD ALONG THE ERN SEABOARD THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. THIS
LARGE SCALE FORCING COUPLED WITH HIGHER THETA-E AIR MASS NEAR TRIPLE
POINT LOW AND COASTAL FRONT SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROMOTE CONVECTION
FROM DELMARVA/NJ AREAS...NEWD ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN NEW ENGLAND.
HOWEVER...OVERALL CG LIGHTNING ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN SPARSE GIVEN
MARGINAL INSTABILITY OVER LAND AREAS.

...SRN FL...
BAND OF PREFRONTAL CONVECTION CONTINUES MOVING SOUTH INTO WEAKLY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS ACROSS THE SRN TIP OF FL. MUCH OF THE LIGHTNING
ACTIVITY OVER LAND HAS DIMINISHED OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. A
FEW STORMS WERE MOVING TOWARD SHORE FROM THE GULF AND COULD STILL
MOVE OVER SWRN FL AND THE KEYS THROUGH TONIGHT.

..CARBIN.. 12/11/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.