[SWODY1] SWODY1

SWODY1 at goshenarc.org SWODY1 at goshenarc.org
Fri Dec 3 05:02:58 UTC 2004


ACUS01 KWNS 030502
SWODY1
SPC AC 030501

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1101 PM CST THU DEC 02 2004

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z.

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

RELATIVELY STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO ROTATE SEWD FROM
THE NRN PLAINS ACROSS THE MID MS VALLEY TODAY...AND THEN SHIFT EWD
INTO THE SRN APPALACHIANS BY SATURDAY MORNING. DESPITE THE STRONG
COOLING ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS TROUGH...WLY WINDS FROM THE
BOUNDARY LAYER THROUGH THE MID LEVELS WILL MAINTAIN A DRY AND STABLE

AIR MASS. 

A WEAK CUTOFF LOW WILL MEANDER NEAR THE SRN CA COAST THROUGH THE
PERIOD. A 50-60 KT MID LEVEL JET SOUTH OF THIS LOW IS FORECAST TO
EJECT NEWD ACROSS BAJA FRIDAY NIGHT...INCREASING THE UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE/DIVERGENCE FROM EXTREME SRN CA EWD ACROSS AZ. THIS WILL 
RESULT IN INCREASING UVV/S AND MOISTENING MID LEVELS. ALTHOUGH THIS
MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR ISOLATED HIGH BASED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW NO MORE THAN A 5-10K FOOT
DEPTH BETWEEN LFC AND EL...SO THE LIGHTNING POTENTIAL SHOULD BE
LIMITED.

..IMY.. 12/03/2004

...NOTICE...
FOR USERS DECODING THE POINTS PARAGRAPH HEREIN...LATITUDE AND
LONGITUDE POINTS FOR THE CATEGORICAL AND PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK
GRAPHICS ALSO ARE LOCATED IN A SEPARATE PRODUCT UNDER THE WMO
HEADINGS WUUS01 PTSDY1...WUUS02 PTSDY2...AND WUUS03 PTSDY3.  THE
INCLUSION OF POINTS IN THIS PRODUCT WILL EVENTUALLY BE DISCONTINUED.








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