[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 072334
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 072334 
GAZ000-SCZ000-080100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0033
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0534 PM CST SUN JAN 07 2007

AREAS AFFECTED...N CNTRL THROUGH NERN GA INTO WRN SC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 11...

VALID 072334Z - 080100Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR
TWO WILL EXIST ACROSS NRN GA INCLUDING THE ATLANTA METRO AREA DURING
THE NEXT HOUR OR SO. THREAT WILL BECOME MORE MARGINAL WITH ERN
EXTENT INTO NERN GA AND WRN SC.

PRE-FRONTAL LINE OF STORMS EXTENDS FROM EXTREME SWRN NC SWWD THROUGH
N CNTRL GA NEAR ATLANTA AND FARTHER SW INTO SERN AL. PORTION OF THE
LINE OVER N CNTRL GA IS MOVING EAST AT 35 KT. A WARM FRONT EXTENDS
FROM SRN SC NWWD TO NEAR ATLANTA TO A WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER NWRN GA.
DEWPOINTS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 60S EXIST NEAR AND S O OF THIS
 FRONT...AND LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOW MLCAPE FROM 250 TO 500
J/KG. LATEST VWP DATA CONTINUE TO SHOW LARGE LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS
AND STRONG DEEP LAYER. THREAT FOR BOW ECHOES AND SUPERCELLS WITH LOW
LEVEL MESOCYCLONES WILL CONTINUE TO EXIST WITH THUNDERSTORMS WITHIN
OR JUST E OF THE LINE. GREATEST SEVERE THREAT WILL PERSIST ALONG AND
S OF THE WARM FRONT WHERE STORMS ARE MORE LIKELY TO BE SURFACE
BASED. ACTIVITY WILL SHIFT EWD INTO NERN GA AND WRN SC LATER THIS
EVENING. HOWEVER...SEVERE THREAT IN THIS REGION IS MORE MARGINAL AND
CONDITIONAL UPON NWD BOUNDARY LAYER RECOVERY.

..DIAL.. 01/07/2007

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...

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