[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Sep 28 01:04:15 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 280104
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 280104 
KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-280230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2041
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0804 PM CDT WED SEP 27 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MO/NERN AR/WRN KY/NWRN TN/EXTREME SRN INDIANA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 801...

VALID 280104Z - 280230Z

STRONG/LOCALLY-SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE MOVING EWD ACROSS WW 801...BUT
DIMINISHING SEVERE THREAT IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS CONVECTIVE LINE -- WITH EMBEDDED STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS -- NOW EXTENDING FROM SRN IN WSWWD INTO SERN
MO/NERN AR.  STORMS ARE OCCURRING WITHIN AN AREA OF MARGINAL
INSTABILITY -- WITH LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATING GENERALLY
LESS THAN 500 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE.  

WITH DIURNAL COOLING NOW UNDERWAY...EXPECT STORMS TO BECOME
INCREASINGLY-ELEVATED WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING.  IN THE MEAN
TIME...THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT -- PRIMARILY IN THE FORM OF MARGINAL
HAIL -- SHOULD REMAIN CONFINED TO THE OH VALLEY REGION OF NWRN KY.

..GOSS.. 09/28/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...MEG...LZK...SGF...

36309186 36919023 37948770 38678693 38788627 37958599
37128659 35848924 35819102 