[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed Sep 27 20:15:43 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 272015
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 272015 
OHZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-272145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2040
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0315 PM CDT WED SEP 27 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN IL/SWRN-ERN IND/NWRN OH

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 272015Z - 272145Z

ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
INTO THE EARLY EVENING...PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF DIABATIC COOLING/
BOUNDARY LAYER STABILIZATION.

REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED A BROKEN LINE OF STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED
ACROSS PARTS OF NRN INTO WRN IND FROM MIAMI TO VIGO COUNTIES.  THIS
ACTIVITY IS LOCATED ALONG A COLD FRONT MOVING EWD INTO A MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE AIR MASS /MLCAPE 500-800 J/KG/.  ALTHOUGH EFFECTIVE BULK
SHEAR VALUES UP TO 40-45 KT ARE SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED STORMS...
THE WEAK INSTABILITY IS EXPECTED TO LIMIT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL...
AND THUS LIKELY PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A WATCH.

..PETERS.. 09/27/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH...ILX...

38638850 39328761 40178630 40848593 41198533 41348436
40078465 39138543 38298674 38238789 