[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions mcd at goshenarc.org
Sat Sep 2 00:30:36 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 020032
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020032 
KSZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-020200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1925
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0732 PM CDT FRI SEP 01 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 763...

VALID 020032Z - 020200Z

POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME SEVERE HAIL WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH 02-03Z ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF WW AREA.

EVOLUTION OF AN MCS HAS OCCURRED THIS EVENING ALONG THE FRONT RANGE
INTO ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS WITH LEADING EDGE OF SYSTEM GUST FRONT
EXTENDING FROM 25 W ITR TO 35 SE PUB AS OF 0020Z.  THE GENERAL
SYSTEM MOVEMENT IS 310/20-25 KTS WITH THE STRONGEST EMBEDDED CELLS
CURRENTLY OVER SRN LINCOLN AND ERN PUEBLO COUNTIES.

AIR MASS OVER E-CNTRL INTO SERN CO REMAINS RELATIVELY COOL /70-75F/
OWING TO PERSISTENT LOW CLOUDS AND INCREASING CIRRUS BLOW-OFF WHICH
IS LIMITING MLCAPES TO 500-1000 J/KG /PER 00Z DDC SOUNDING/. 
DESPITE THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY...VERTICAL SHEAR REMAINS SUPPORTIVE
OF STORM ORGANIZATION...INCLUDING EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES WITH
THE PRIMARY THREATS BEING SEVERE HAIL AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS.

..MEAD.. 09/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...BOU...ABQ...

37340478 38100408 38710317 38940263 38780210 37950196
37200249 36800324 36690404 36890448 

WWWW





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