[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Oct 17 02:26:53 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 170228
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170228 
ALZ000-MSZ000-170300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2130
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0928 PM CDT MON OCT 16 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NRN MS AND NWRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...TORNADO WATCH LIKELY 

VALID 170228Z - 170300Z

NEW TORNADO WW WILL BE REQUIRED TO THE NORTH OF WW 832.

SURFACE ANALYSES INDICATED WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE SLOWLY NWD
INTO NWRN TO EAST CENTRAL MS AS ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW MOVED INTO
NERN AR THIS EVENING.  SUFFICIENT DESTABILIZATION ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY AND STRONG KINEMATICS ENHANCING SRH VALUES /0-1 KM SRH IN
EXCESS OF 400 M2/S2/ WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THREAT FOR TORNADOES/
WIND DAMAGE TO THE NORTH OF WW 832.  REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED
PERSISTENT BOWING SEGMENTS ALONG LINE OF ACTIVITY EXTENDING FROM ERN
LA INTO CENTRAL MS WITH SEVERAL ROTATION COUPLETS WITH THESE LINES.

..PETERS.. 10/17/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...

33308827 33278975 33429019 34398968 34988933 34978728
33708716 33198734 32808809 