[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions mcd at goshenarc.org
Tue Oct 10 10:01:04 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 101000
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101000 
TXZ000-101130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2094
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0500 AM CDT TUE OCT 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SWRN AND INTO CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 820...

VALID 101000Z - 101130Z

SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS WW 820...WITH POTENTIAL
INCREASING E OF WW.  NEW WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT HOUR OR
SO.

BOUNDARY LAYER CONTINUES TO MOISTEN -- WITH DEWPOINTS NOW NEAR 70 IN
MOST LOCALES -- S OF FRONT WHICH HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY FROM
NEAR CORSICANA TX TO NEAR JUNCTION TX. SMALL-SCALE LINE OF STORMS
MOVING QUICKLY EWD ACROSS MCCULLOCH/SAN SABA/MASON COUNTIES REMAINS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND DAMAGE AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO. 
MEANWHILE...A SECOND LINEARLY-ORGANIZED CLUSTER MOVING ACROSS
CROCKETT AND VAL VERDE COUNTIES ALSO REMAINS POTENTIALLY
SEVERE...WITH EMBEDDED ROTATION SIGNATURES NOTED WITHIN THE LINE
OVER THE PAST HOUR.  FINALLY...A MORE ISOLATED/SUPERCELL STORM IS
MOVING ACROSS GILLESPIE COUNTY...WITH OTHER/WEAKER CONVECTIVE
ELEMENTS INCREASING E OF THE WW.

OVERALL...CONTINUED BOUNDARY-LAYER MOISTENING AND STRONG ENEWD SURGE
OF THE UPPER SYSTEM EVIDENT IN WV IMAGERY ALONG WITH FAVORABLE WIND
FIELD SUGGESTS THAT ONGOING STORMS -- AND ASSOCIATED SEVERE/TORNADO
POTENTIAL -- WILL CONTINUE MOVING EWD AND EVENTUALLY SPREAD OUT OF
WW 820.  THEREFORE...AREAS E OF THIS WW ARE BEING MONITORED FOR NEW
WATCH ISSUANCE.

..GOSS.. 10/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...SJT...MAF...

29830170 30260188 31090096 31519944 31929644 31119512
29079672 29019925 








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