[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 150134
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150134 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-150230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0874
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0834 PM CDT SUN MAY 14 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NC THROUGH COASTAL SC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 351...355...

VALID 150134Z - 150230Z

SEVERE THREAT WILL HAVE ENDED ACROSS MUCH OF 355 BY 02Z. WW MAY BE
LOCALLY EXTENDED FOR SOME COASTAL COUNTIES FOR AN HOUR OR SO IF
NECESSARY. SEVERE THREAT IN TORNADO WATCH 351 ALSO APPEARS TO BE ON
THE DECLINE. HOWEVER...SOME SEVERE THREAT MAY PERSIST ACROSS PARTS
OF ERN NC AN HOUR OR TWO BEYOND 02Z AND PORTIONS OF THIS WW MAY ALSO
NEED TO BE LOCALLY EXTENDED.

THIS EVENING A FEW SEVERE STORMS INCLUDING SUPERCELLS CONTINUE EWD
THROUGH COASTAL SC. MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL HAVE MOVED OFFSHORE
SHORTLY AFTER 02Z.

FARTHER N...A LINE OF STORMS CONTINUES TRAINING ON QUASISTATIONARY
FRONT WITH STRONGEST STORMS FROM JOHNSTON COUNTY NEWD TO TYRRELL
COUNTY. ORGANIZED STORMS STRUCTURES INCLUDING BOW ECHOES AND AN
ISOLATED SUPERCELL OR TWO CONTINUE TO BE OBSERVED WITHIN THE LINE.
OVERALL INTENSITIES HAVE DECREASED DURING THE PAST HOUR AND STORMS
APPEAR TO BE TRANSITIONING TO OUTFLOW DOMINANT. THE STABILIZING
BOUNDARY LAYER AND INCREASINGLY MARGINAL INSTABILITY SHOULD 
CONTRIBUTE TO FURTHER WEAKENING WITH TIME. HOWEVER...STORMS ARE
STILL EMBEDDED WITHIN STRONG SHEAR PROFILES AND SOME SEVERE THREAT
MAY PERSIST WITH THIS ACTIVITY AT LEAST AN HOUR OR TWO BEYOND WW 351
EXPIRATION TIME OF 02Z.

..DIAL.. 05/15/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...

34307732 32108118 32968067 33987923 35157855 35857848
35927725 35977593 

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