[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 120114
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120113 
VAZ000-NCZ000-120215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0848
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0813 PM CDT THU MAY 11 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN VA INTO ERN MD

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 342...

VALID 120113Z - 120215Z

POTENTIAL FOR MAINLY ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH 02Z ACROSS FAR SERN VA AND ERN MD.  WW 342 WILL BE ALLOWED
TO EXPIRE AT 02Z.

AS OF 0100Z...RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED A WAVY LINE OF TSTMS FROM E OF
NHK TO 20 SW OF ORF MOVING NEWD AT 20-30 KTS. 00Z WAL SOUNDING
INDICATES THAT STORMS ARE LIKELY MOVING INTO A REGION OF STRONGER
SURFACE-BASED STABILITY OWING TO MARINE INFLUENCES...THOUGH SOME
WEAK ELEVATED BUOYANCY STILL EXISTS /I.E. 700-800 J/KG OF MUCAPE/. 
GIVEN MODESTLY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR OBSERVED ON THIS
SOUNDING...POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR BOWING OR MARGINAL SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES EMBEDDED WITHIN LARGER CONVECTIVE LINE THROUGH 02Z. 
LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WITH THE MOST
INTENSE STORMS.

..MEAD.. 05/12/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...

37817638 37897601 37737547 36167565 36017639 36217695
36897654 

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