[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 070124
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 070123 
TXZ000-070230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0778
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0823 PM CDT SAT MAY 06 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF S CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 301...

VALID 070123Z - 070230Z

REMAINING VALID PORTION OF WW MAY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 02Z.

NARROW LINGERING TONGUE OF HEATED MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER EAST OF DRY
LINE...AND SOUTH OF SURFACE FRONT...TO THE WEST NORTHWEST OF SAN
ANTONIO...MAY REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF VIGOROUS CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT
ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO.  HOWEVER... POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS APPEARS
TO BE DECREASING WITH LOSS OF INSOLATION.  GIVEN CONTINUING
MID-LEVEL SUBSIDENCE IN WAKE OF SOUTHERN STREAM TROUGH...AND WEAK
LOW-LEVEL FORCING...RISK FOR FURTHER DEVELOPMENT BEYOND THE 02-03Z
TIME FRAME APPEARS LOW.

..KERR.. 05/07/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...

30030011 30189967 30329934 30409891 30099863 29489919
29569980 29700012 

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