[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 052349
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 052349 
TXZ000-NMZ000-060115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0769
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0649 PM CDT FRI MAY 05 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN NM/TX SOUTH PLAINS AND TRANSPECOS REGION INTO
CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 293...294...

VALID 052349Z - 060115Z

SEVERE/TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS WW 293 AND 294...AND MAY
SPREAD EWD INTO CENTRAL N TX.  NEW WW LIKELY WITHIN THE HOUR.

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO INCREASE -- MAINLY ON THE COOL SIDE OF
SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING WNW-ESE ACROSS THE TRANSPECOS AND INTO
CENTRAL TX.  SHEAR REMAINS QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH
NUMEROUS STORMS SHOWING SUPERCELL CHARACTERISTICS.  

THOUGH TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES -- PARTICULARLY NEAR SURFACE
FRONT...GREATER THREAT ATTM REMAINS LARGE HAIL GIVEN ELEVATED NATURE
OF CONVECTION. THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD INCREASE WITH TIME
AS WELL...AS INCREASING ESELY LOW-LEVEL JET MAY ALLOW STORMS TO
ORGANIZE INTO A FORWARD-PROPAGATING MCS AND MOVE RAPIDLY ESEWD ALONG
FRONT.

..GOSS.. 05/05/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...ABQ...

34820390 34630190 33329676 30169906 31660377 33590422 

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