[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri May 12 01:46:53 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 120145
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120145 
NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-120245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0849
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0845 PM CDT THU MAY 11 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN MD/SERN PA PERHAPS INTO DE AND SWRN NJ

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 343...

VALID 120145Z - 120245Z

THREAT OF MAINLY ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ERN
PORTIONS OF WW 343 PERHAPS INTO PORTIONS OF DE AND FAR SWRN NJ.  WW
343 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 03Z.

AS OF 0140Z...RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED A WEAKENING CONVECTIVE LINE
FROM 20 E OF CXY TO 20 W OF WAL WITH INDIVIDUAL CELL MOTIONS NEWD AT
25-30 KTS.  AS MENTIONED IN PREVIOUS MESOSCALE DISCUSSION /848/ IT
APPEARS THAT THIS CONVECTION IS ENCOUNTERING AN INCREASINGLY MORE
STABLE ENVIRONMENT AS IT APPROACHES THE COAST. MODESTLY STRONG
VERTICAL SHEAR WILL MAINTAIN AT LEAST A MARGINAL THREAT OF LOCALLY
STRONG WIND GUSTS WITH THE MORE INTENSE STORMS...THOUGH IT APPEARS
OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE THROUGH 03Z.

..MEAD.. 05/12/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...CTP...LWX...

40077645 40347603 40157531 38987511 38357546 38457598 

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