[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed May 10 17:43:41 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 101742
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101742 
ALZ000-101915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0828
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1242 PM CDT WED MAY 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 329...

VALID 101742Z - 101915Z

WW 329 WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 18Z. HOWEVER A NEW WW MAY BE
NEEDED AROUND 19Z AS CONVECTION OVER MS BEGINS TO DEVELOP SEWD INTO
THE REGION. 

EARLIER CONVECTION HAS DIMINISHED AND MOVED EWD INTO SWRN GA. AREA
REMAINS UNDER BROAD WAA PROFILE AND STRONG LOW-MID LEVEL SHEAR.
COPIOUS CLOUD COVER WILL LIKELY INHIBIT CONVECTION FROM DEVELOPING
IN THE WAA PROFILE FOR THE NEXT FEW HRS. HOWEVER...CONVECTION
DEVELOPING FURTHER WEST OVER CENTRAL MS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY AND SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE INTO SWRN AL AFTER 19Z. WITH
CONTINUED DESTABILIZATION EXPECTED OVER SRN AL...SVR THREAT WILL
LIKELY REDEVELOP AFTER THIS TIME. GIVEN THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW
LEVEL SHEAR...ANY NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE TORNADO.

..CROSBIE.. 05/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...BMX...MOB...

32178641 32568813 32268824 31538828 31338788 31098675
31078539 31238517 31868523 

WWWW