[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue May 9 21:48:33 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 092147
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092146 
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-092315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0812
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0446 PM CDT TUE MAY 09 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SE KS/SW MO/NE OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 092146Z - 092315Z

...SEVERE POTENTIAL IS INCREASING ACROSS SRN MO INTO NE OK AND WATCH
MAY BECOME NECESSARY SHORTLY...

RESIDUAL COLD FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY NOW EXTENDS FROM DOUGLAS CO
MISSOURI SWWD INTO NE OK. BOUNDARY CONTINUES SWWD JUST SE OF THE OKC
AREA WHERE IT INTERSECTS ANOTHER OUTFLOW BOUNDARY BETWEEN
NORMAN/SHAWNEE PER RADAR DATA FROM NORMAN. STORMS HAVE ALREADY
DEVELOPED ALONG THIS BOUNDARY IN SRN MO...AND CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING FARTHER SOUTHWEST JUDGING BY SWELLING
CUMULUS INTO OKLAHOMA. AIRMASS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY IS
EXTREMELY UNSTABLE...AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR SHOWN ON PROFILER DATA IS
IN THE 40-50 KT RANGE. BACKED FLOW ACROSS MUSKOGEE/SEQUOYAH COUNTIES
EWD SUGGESTS THERE MAY BE A DEVELOPING TORNADO THREAT IF DISCRETE
STORMS CAN FORM INVOF OF THESE BOUNDARIES.

..TAYLOR.. 05/09/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...ICT...

36899097 35979362 35709628 36279649 37119608 37549465
37619273 37579145 37519093 

WWWW