[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Mar 31 07:11:04 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 310713
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310713 
MOZ000-ARZ000-310815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0376
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0113 AM CST FRI MAR 31 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN MO...NRN AR

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 310713Z - 310815Z

STRONG H5 JET OF 80+ KTS CONTINUES TO TRANSLATE NEWD INTO THE
MIDWEST WITH ATTENDANT LLJ SHIFTING NEWD WITH TIME.  AS SUCH...TSTMS
ACROSS SRN MO AND NRN AR HAVE CONTINUED TO WEAKEN...WITH THE TORNADO
THREAT DIMINISHING.

STRONGEST INSTABILITY REMAINS WELL UPSTREAM ACROSS SERN OK AND NRN
TX WHERE ONGOING TSTM CLUSTER MAY PERCOLATE MOST OF THE MORNING. 
FARTHER N...HOWEVER...THERE DOES NOT SEEM MUCH SUPPORT THE
REDEVELOPMENT OF DEEP MOIST CONVECTION.  AS A RESULT...CURRENT
TORNADO WATCH COULD BE CANCELLED EARLY.

..RACY.. 03/31/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...TSA...

36449376 37349231 37519079 37068967 35899046 35149238
35259424 

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