[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions MCD at goshenarc.org
Fri Mar 31 06:55:41 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 310658
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 310658 
INZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-310830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0375
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1258 AM CST FRI MAR 31 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ECNTRL MO...CNTRL/SRN/ERN IL AND WRN IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 310658Z - 310830Z

NARROW STRONG TSTM LINE SEGMENTS CONTINUE TO TRANSLATE ENEWD AT
AROUND 40 KTS FROM THE KSTL AREA NEWD INTO CNTRL IL...ALONG THE NOSE
OF 80+ KT H5 SPEED MAX.  TSTMS SHOULD BE MAINTAINED EWD INTO
PORTIONS OF IND THROUGH THE MORNING AS STRONG UVV TRANSLATES EWD. 
THOUGH THE INSTABILITY GRADIENT LIES ALONG/W OF THE MS RVR...STRONG
SWLY H85 WINDS SEEM TO BE ADVECTING LOW-LEVEL MSTR NWD AHEAD OF THE
STORMS...RESULTING IN MARGINAL DESTABILIZATION.  EVENTUALLY...TSTMS
SHOULD OUT PACE THIS DESTABILIZATION PROCESS AND RESULT IN WEAKENING
STORMS.  MOREOVER...TSTMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO BECOME ROOTED JUST
ABOVE THE BOUNDARY LAYER...LESSENING THE RISK OF DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS. SO...DESPITE THE VERY IMPRESSIVE KINEMATICS IN PLACE...THE
SEVERE THREAT SHOULD DIMINISH AS THE STORMS MOVE INTO ERN IL AND WRN
IND THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

..RACY.. 03/31/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...PAH...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...

38709072 39758984 41048939 41398880 41498742 40918635
39748612 38788676 38168767 37618951 37779101 

WWWW





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