[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Mar 25 23:13:59 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 252315
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 252315 
IDZ000-UTZ000-NVZ000-260045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0347
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0515 PM CST SAT MAR 25 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN ID...NRN NV...NWRN UT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 106...

VALID 252315Z - 260045Z

STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE AS BROKEN CONVECTIVE 
LINE MOVES INTO ERN PORTIONS OF WW 106.

CONVECTIVE LINE WAS MOVING EAST AT AROUND 40KT AND WAS CURRENTLY
SITUATED FROM 40 NNE BOI TO 45 ENE OWY TO EKO TO 40 NW U31. ONLY
SPORADIC CG LIGHTNING ACTIVITY ALONG THE LINE WAS EVIDENCE OF VERY
LIMITED INSTABILITY. NONETHELESS...FOCUSED ASCENT ALONG ADVANCING
LARGER SCALE FRONTAL ZONE...AND STRONG KINEMATICS WITH NEARLY 60KT
OF FLOW AT 700MB...SHOULD PARTIALLY OFFSET LIMITED INSTABILITY.  AS
LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION MOVES EAST ACROSS WARM/DRY BOUNDARY LAYER A
FEW STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTIVE DOWNDRAFTS REMAIN POSSIBLE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. ACTIVITY WILL MOVE INTO PARTS OF NWRN UT THROUGH 01Z BUT
LATEST TRENDS SUGGEST THAT ANOTHER WATCH MAY NOT BE NECESSARY.

..CARBIN.. 03/25/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SLC...PIH...BOI...LKN...REV...

40111432 39071688 40031771 42621645 43931664 44211657
44371515 44041157 41991216 41961394 

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