[MCD] {Spam?} SWOMCD

Mon Mar 20 05:35:47 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 200538
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 200537 
TXZ000-200700-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0324
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1137 PM CST SUN MAR 19 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS W TX AND EXTREME ERN NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 100...98...

VALID 200537Z - 200700Z

SVR POTENTIAL SHOULD BE OUT OF WW 98 BY SCHEDULED 07Z EXPIRATION
TIME...AND HAS EXITED NM WHERE AIR MASS HAS STABILIZED CONSIDERABLY
AND SUBSTANTIAL DRYING IS UNDERWAY.  CONTINUE WW 100.

WRN MOST BAND OF STRONG FORCING IS EVIDENT AS OF 0530Z FROM ANDREWS
COUNTY NWD TOWARD BAILEY/LAMB COUNTY LINE...CORRESPONDING TO STRONG
AND SEVERE CONVECTION. WIDELY SCATTERED TSTMS ALSO ARE EVIDENT
AHEAD OF THAT ACTIVITY...MOVING ENEWD 30-40 KT...INCLUDING NRN
PORTIONS MAF AREA.  ACTIVITY IN THIS REGION HAS PRODUCED ABUNDANT
AMOUNTS OF MRGL SEVERE HAIL IN SEVERAL LOCALES.  THREAT FOR HAIL
WILL CONTINUE AS CONVECTION MOVES NEWD OUT OF WW 98 AND ACROSS WW
100 DURING NEXT 2-3 HOURS.  AIR MASS OVER W-CENTRAL TX REMAINS QUITE
STABLE WITHIN 2-3 KM AGL BASED ON MODIFIED 00Z MAF RAOB AND RUC FCST
SOUNDINGS.  HOWEVER ELEVATED MUCAPES 400-800 J/KG AND EFFECTIVE
SHEARS OVER 60 KT WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT STORM ORGANIZATION WITH
INFLOW LAYER ROOTED BETWEEN 700-850 MB.

..EDWARDS.. 03/20/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...

27939999 29549972 30119904 30229820 30959731 31259680
31139611 30479552 29879570 28769726 27829897 

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