[MCD] {Spam?} SWOMCD

Sun Mar 19 13:53:22 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 191355
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 191355 
TXZ000-191430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0314
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0755 AM CST SUN MAR 19 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 95...

VALID 191355Z - 191430Z

NEW WW BEING ISSUED FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL TX.

13Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED THE INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDED NEWD
THROUGH THE COUNTIES OF EDWARDS TO GILLESPIE/SRN BURNET TO EAST
CENTRAL TX.  SRN SEVERE STORM...NOW OVER GILLESPIE COUNTY...
REMAINED NEAR THIS BOUNDARY WITH CONTINUED INDICATIONS OF LOW-LEVEL
ROTATION.  ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP/MOVE NEWD ALONG THIS BOUNDARY
GIVEN ELY SURFACE WINDS ALONG THE TROUGH WILL HAVE THE CAPABILITY TO
PRODUCE A TORNADO.  UNCERTAINTY REMAINS AT HOW MANY ADDITIONAL
STORMS WILL DEVELOP IN THE NEAR SHORT TERM GIVEN LIMITED NEW STORM
INITIATION PER CURRENT UPSTREAM RADAR TRENDS.  

MEANWHILE...LEFT SPLITTING SUPERCELL /WHICH SPLIT A SECOND TIME/
WITH RESPECTIVE LEFT AND RIGHT MOVING STORMS NOW LOCATED OVER CONCHO
AND MASON COUNTIES RESPECTIVELY ARE LIKELY ELEVATED GIVEN DISTANCE
FROM INVERTED TROUGH.  THESE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE POTENTIAL
TO PRODUCE LARGE HAIL. ANOTHER STORM HAS FORMED FARTHER WNW OVER
REAGAN COUNTY. THIS NEW STORM ALONG WITH ANY NEW DEVELOPMENT WNW OF
SURFACE TROUGH SHOULD REMAIN AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT...AT LEAST
THROUGH MID MORNING...AS INCREASING LARGE SCALE ASCENT/WAA DEVELOPS
NEWD AHEAD OF SHORT WAVE TROUGH/SPEED MAX NOW ENTERING FAR W TX.

..PETERS.. 03/19/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...

29830179 30870197 31860138 32389988 32279739 31829598
30069764 29799893 29250074 

WWWW