[MCD] {Spam?} SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 132014
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132013 
NYZ000-PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-KYZ000-INZ000-TNZ000-132145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0285
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0213 PM CST MON MAR 13 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN INDIANA/CENTRAL KY/OH/ PA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 88...

VALID 132013Z - 132145Z

THUNDERSTORMS/SEVERE THREAT MAY INCREASE AHEAD OF FRONT --
PARTICULARLY ACROSS CENTRAL KY AND INTO WRN OH -- OVER THE NEXT 1 TO
2 HOURS.

THOUGH INITIAL CONVECTION CLUSTER NOW MOVING ACROSS CENTRAL KY/ERN
OH/WRN PA HAS LEFT A RELATIVELY STABLE AIRMASS IN ITS WAKE...SURFACE
AND OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATE AN AXIS OF
MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION SPREADING NWD ACROSS KY INTO WRN OH
BEHIND THE INITIAL CONVECTION/AHEAD OF COLD FRONT.  THIS COINCIDES
WITH CONVECTIVE INCREASE INDICATED BY LATEST RADAR IMAGERY FROM WRN
TN NNEWD TO THE OH RIVER.  THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE...WITH A
CORRESPONDING INCREASE IN SEVERE THREAT GIVEN STRONG DEEP-LAYER WIND
FIELD. RELATIVELY UNIDIRECTIONAL FLOW JUST OFF THE SURFACE SUGGESTS
THAT DAMAGING WINDS SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT.

E OF WATCH -- INTO CENTRAL AND ERN PA...LESS CLOUDINESS HAS ALLOWED
SOME HEATING/DESTABILIZATION TO OCCUR...WITH TEMPERATURES NOW IN THE
LOW TO MID 70S AND 500 TO 1000 J/KG SURFACE-BASED CAPE NOW
INDICATED.  SEVERE THREAT APPEARS TO BE INCREASING ALONG LEADING
EDGE OF THE INITIAL CONVECTIVE CLUSTER AS IT MOVES INTO CENTRAL
PA...WHICH MAY REQUIRE WW ISSUANCE E OF WW 88.

..GOSS.. 03/13/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...BGM...BUF...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...LMK...IWX...OHX...IND...PAH...

36618726 39858468 42028262 41937953 42387712 42037518
39877682 39457973 38658140 36728465 

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