[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Mar 13 00:27:40 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 130029
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130028 
ILZ000-MOZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-130200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0267
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0628 PM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR EASTERN KS/MUCH OF MO INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL IL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 73...

VALID 130028Z - 130200Z

PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS TORNADO WATCH 73 CONTINUES UNTIL 04Z. AN
ENHANCED TORNADO/VERY LARGE HAIL THREAT WILL REMAIN WITH SUPERCELLS
MOVING INTO WEST CENTRAL IL OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. OTHER
STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST
KS...WITH THIS ACTIVITY SPREADING INTO WESTERN MO THIS EVENING.

IMPRESSIVE SUPERCELLS WITH TORNADIC HISTORY ARE CROSSING THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM EAST CENTRAL MO INTO WEST CENTRAL IL AT THIS
TIME...ROUGHLY 45 MILES NNW OF STL. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE TO MOVE ENE WITHIN BAROCLINIC ZONE ALONG/NORTH OF WARM
FRONT FROM CENTRAL MO INTO CENTRAL IL. NEAR STORM ENVIRONMENT
REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES AND
VERY LARGE HAIL IN ENHANCED BAROCLINICITY/STRONG LOW LEVEL SRH
ENVIRONMENT. THESE SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY REACH THE
PITTSFIELD/JACKSONVILLE IL AREAS BY 0100-0130Z...AND POTENTIALLY THE
SPRINGFIELD/TAYLORVILLE IL VICINITIES THEREAFTER.

FURTHER WEST...SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG DRYLINE
ACROSS FAR EASTERN KS FROM NEAR THE KC METRO AREA SSW TO NEAR
COFFEYVILLE KS. OBSERVED 00Z SPRINGFIELD MO RAOB CONTINUES TO SAMPLE
A WARM SECTOR ENVIRONMENT THAT IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS...WITH VERY LARGE HAIL/TORNADIC POTENTIAL. AS DEVELOPMENT
CONTINUES TO OCCUR THIS EVENING AND SPREAD INTO WESTERN MO...THERE
IS A POSSIBILITY FOR AN ENHANCED TORNADO THREAT AS STORMS INTERACT
WITH MODIFYING WEST-EAST ORIENTED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL MO AND/OR WARM FRONT.

..GUYER.. 03/13/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

39659471 40399304 40408963 39208904 38018954 37279289
37139443 37439533 

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