[MCD] {Spam?} SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions MCD at goshenarc.org
Sun Mar 12 13:08:10 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 121309
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121309 
MOZ000-KSZ000-IAZ000-NEZ000-121445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0253
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0709 AM CST SUN MAR 12 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR NERN KS / SERN NEB / NWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 121309Z - 121445Z

POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED LARGE HAIL IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP N OF WW 69
BY 14Z...AND A WW MAY BECOME NECESSARY.

AS OF 13Z...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED A CLUSTER OF ELEVATED
TSTMS OVER THE NERN QUARTER OF KS MOVING 215/40 KTS.  SEVERAL
REPORTS OF LARGE HAIL HAVE BEEN RECEIVED WITH THESE STORMS OVER THE
PAST COUPLE OF HOURS.  WHILE 12Z TOP SOUNDING INDICATED ONLY A
MARGINALLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS /I.E. MUCAPES OF 500-700 J/KG/ FOR A
PARCEL BASED AROUND 850 MB...ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE RETURN
ABOVE NEAR SURFACE INVERSION WILL LIKELY CONTRIBUTE TO FURTHER
DESTABILIZATION WITH TIME.

THEREFORE...EXPECT THESE ELEVATED STORMS TO CONTINUE TO MOVE AND/OR
DEVELOP NEWD INTO PORTIONS OF SERN NEB AND PERHAPS NWRN MO THIS
MORNING WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

..MEAD.. 03/12/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...EAX...OAX...TOP...GID...

39659906 40279930 40659879 40749654 40619512 40249436
39309387 38789414 38769494 38839513 39589510 39639732 

WWWW





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