[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Mar 11 21:29:17 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 112130
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112130 
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-112300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0239
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0330 PM CST SAT MAR 11 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK...MO...NWRN AR...SERN IA AND CENTRAL IL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 62...

VALID 112130Z - 112300Z

TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 02Z FOR PORTIONS OF ERN OK...NWRN AR
AND SWRN MO.

SEVERE STORMS...INCLUDING A FEW SUPERCELLS...WERE LOCATED ACROSS
EXTREME NWRN AR AND SWRN MO. THESE STORMS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVE NEWD THROUGH NERN OK. THE STORMS SHOULD SPREAD
NEWD DURING THE EVENING AND CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY. THE MAIN THREAT
WILL BE LARGE HAIL...THOUGH THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY AND DEEP LAYER
SHEAR INDICATES TORNADOES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

WITH CONTINUED HEATING...OTHER STORMS MAY REDEVELOP IN ERN OK ALONG
A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT/DRYLINE THAT STRETCHED FROM NEAR TUL SWWD
TO GAINESVILLE TX. AN AREA OF SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THE SHORTWAVE TROUGH
APPEARS TO BE LIMITING DEEP CONVECTION ALONG THE BOUNDARY...BUT THE
SUBSIDENCE SHOULD WEAKEN TOWARD 00Z AS THE TROUGH MOVES FURTHER NEWD
INTO MO.

..IMY.. 03/11/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...LZK...SGF...SHV...EAX...TSA...ICT...FWD...OUN...

33949686 37039521 39269266 38949170 38689142 37849130
37379131 35649354 33839472 

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