[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Mar 11 00:51:36 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 110053
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110052 
OKZ000-TXZ000-110215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0224
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0652 PM CST FRI MAR 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF SRN-ERN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 110052Z - 110215Z

ISOLATED STORMS WITH A POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HAIL/STRONG WIND GUSTS
WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG THE RED RIVER FROM FAR NRN COOKE
COUNTY TX NWD INTO SRN OK OVER JOHNSTON/PONTOTOC COUNTIES...WITH
ADDITIONAL ACTIVITY DEVELOPING/SPREADING NEWD INTO ERN OK.

LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NWD THIS EVENING INTO SRN
OK...WITH THE 00Z FORT WORTH SOUNDING INDICATING A FAIRLY DEEP
MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE SURFACE THROUGH 700 MB SINCE 12Z.  A FEW
STORMS DEVELOPED DURING THE LAST HOUR OVER COOKE COUNTY TX...WITH
MORE RECENT DEVELOPMENT INTO SRN OK NE OF ADM. 00Z FORT WORTH
SOUNDING INDICATED THE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL WITH THE STRONGER
STORMS THIS EVENING GIVEN STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES...MODERATE
INSTABILITY AND STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR.

INCREASING SSWLY LLJ AND SUBSEQUENT INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL WAA ACROSS
ERN OK INTO WRN AR LATER THIS EVENING WILL FAVOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING HAIL FROM ELEVATED STORMS.

..PETERS.. 03/11/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

33849732 34029729 34599707 35189695 35699644 35649452
34029467 33779601 33689683 

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