[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Mar 9 05:01:20 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 090503
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090502 
TXZ000-090630-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0200
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1102 PM CST WED MAR 08 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...TX HILL COUNTRY/SCNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 090502Z - 090630Z

...A WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY FOR THE TX HILL COUNTRY/SCNTRL
TX...

STRONG/SVR TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF 80-90 KT JET MAX
WHICH IS APPROACHING FROM THE BIG BEND. VIGOROUS LARGE SCALE ASCENT
WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. STORMS APPEAR TO
BE FORMING ON A CONFLUENCE AXIS...POSSIBLY NEAR 700MB JUDGING FROM
VWP/SATELLITE DATA. DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE WELL OVER 50 KT...AND
AIRMASS IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE. WHILE THE SEVERE THREAT WILL TEND TO
BE MORE FROM LARGE HAIL/STRONG WINDS...THERE IS A SMALL POTENTIAL
FOR TORNADOES...GIVEN SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW/MID 60S AND THE VERY
STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR.

..TAYLOR.. 03/09/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...CRP...EWX...SJT...

28629738 28179909 29109998 31339850 31599708 31129625
30299628 

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