[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Mar 9 03:57:13 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 090356
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 090356 
MOZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-090500-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0198
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0956 PM CST WED MAR 08 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN KS/SWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 090356Z - 090500Z

HAIL THREAT EXPECTED TO INCREASE...BUT SHOULD REMAIN PRIMARILY
ISOLATED THROUGH THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS /UNTIL 06-07Z/.  GREATEST
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE ACROSS SERN KS AND POTENTIALLY DEVELOPING INTO
SWRN MO.

REGIONAL RADARS SHOWED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED SINCE 0245Z OVER
SERN KS FROM COWLEY TO ALLEN COUNTIES. THIS ACTIVITY IS LOCATED
NORTH OF THE COLD FRONT...AND THUS IS MOST LIKELY ROOTED ABOVE THE
SURFACE.  AIR MASS S AND E OF THE FRONT HAS REMAINED MARGINALLY
UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE VALUES UP TO 1000 J/KG.  50 KT SSWLY LLJ
EXTENDING INTO SERN KS IS PROVIDING MOIST/UNSTABLE INFLOW INTO THIS
ELEVATED ACTIVITY...WITH ADDITIONAL ELEVATED THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES SEWD INTO THE INSTABILITY AXIS.

..PETERS.. 03/09/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...

38099598 38749410 38549348 37199367 36959473 36959677
37109749 37699720 