[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Mar 31 22:00:53 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 312203
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 312203 
MIZ000-OHZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-312300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0380
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0403 PM CST FRI MAR 31 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SE LWR MI

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 117...118...

VALID 312203Z - 312300Z

CONTINUE WW.

CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF LOWER MICHIGAN...
SUPPORTED BY STRONGER FORCING DOWNSTREAM OF CLOSED LOW WHICH IS
SHIFTING SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO THE UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION.  LEADING
EDGE OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL COOLING/LIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THIS
FEATURE IS NOW BEGINNING TO OVERSPREAD PRE-FRONTAL THERMAL RIDGE
AXIS ACROSS SOUTHERN/EASTERN ILLINOIS THROUGH NORTHERN INDIANA. 
INHIBITION IS WEAKENING ACROSS THIS REGION...AND SCATTERED VIGOROUS
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. 
MIXED LAYER CAPE APPROACHING 1000 J/KG WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED
SUPERCELLS IN FAVORABLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT... PARTICULARLY NEAR THE
TERRE HAUTE AREA BY 00Z.

..KERR.. 03/31/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...PAH...ILX...

38788800 39558770 40168728 40568665 40948629 41558566
42268484 42698465 42908435 42638363 41838387 41088422
40348516 39348657 38738701 38518775 

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