[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Jun 23 17:08:44 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 231709
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231709 
NCZ000-SCZ000-VAZ000-TNZ000-GAZ000-231845-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1321
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1209 PM CDT FRI JUN 23 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN NC...NW SC...FAR NE GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 231709Z - 231845Z

AS THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO INTENSIFY OVER THE SRN APPALACHIAN
MTNS...A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT SHOULD DEVELOP. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AND HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH THE ACTIVITY.

LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWS A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING WSWWD FROM
WV INTO CNTRL KY AND WRN TN. SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY...A STRONGLY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS IN PLACE WITH MLCAPE VALUES ALREADY IN THE 2000
TO 2500 J/KG RANGE. THIS WILL FUEL THE STORMS DEVELOPING IN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE SRN APPALACHIANS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
ALTHOUGH THE SHEAR IS RELATIVELY WEAK...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW VERY
STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES EXCEEDING 8.0 C/KM IN PLACES. THIS MAY
ENHANCE THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS. HAIL WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE DUE TO THE STRONG INSTABILITY IN PLACE ACROSS THE REGION.

..BROYLES.. 06/23/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...RNK...CAE...GSP...MRX...FFC...

35417995 34668097 34268239 34658381 35718342 36578139
36348003 

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