[MCD] SWOMCD

Thu Jun 22 20:40:36 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 222039
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222039 
INZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-TNZ000-MOZ000-222245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1307
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0339 PM CDT THU JUN 22 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SOUTHERN/EASTERN MO AND SOUTHERN IL/SOUTHERN
INDIANA INTO WESTERN KY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 538...540...

VALID 222039Z - 222245Z

VALID PORTION OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCHES 538 AND 540 CONTINUE
UNTIL 00Z...WITH CONTINUED POTENTIAL FOR LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.

PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT CONTINUES NAMELY IN A CORRIDOR ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MO/SOUTHERN IL/SOUTHERN INDIANA AND WESTERN KY...THIS IS
EAST OF WELL ORGANIZED SOUTH CENTRAL MO MCS...EASTWARD INTO A
RELATIVELY UNPERTURBED MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS SOUTHERN
IL/SOUTHERN INDIANA/WESTERN KY. STRONG INSOLATION WITH 90S F
TEMPERATURES/LOWER 70S F DEWPOINTS IS SUPPORTING MODERATE
INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF 2500-3250 J/KG IN THE
MOIST/UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR. ALTHOUGH AMBIENT VERTICAL SHEAR IS
MODEST /20 KTS PER BLOOMFIELD MO PROFILER/...EASTWARD MOVING SOUTH
CENTRAL MO MCS/COLD POOL AND CONVECTIVELY ENHANCED VORT MAX WILL
CONTINUE THE RELATIVELY ORGANIZED SEVERE POTENTIAL INTO EARLY
EVENING...INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL.

..GUYER.. 06/22/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...SGF...

36709349 38309293 39659080 39708645 39158574 37888627
36878687 36468836 36659001 