[MCD] SWOMCD

Mesoscale Convective Discussions mcd at goshenarc.org
Thu Jun 22 20:19:54 UTC 2006


ACUS11 KWNS 222020
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222020 
KSZ000-222145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1306
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0320 PM CDT THU JUN 22 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...WESTERN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 222020Z - 222145Z

WITH AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...IT
APPEARS A WATCH MAY BE NEEDED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR ACROSS WESTERN
KS.

STORMS HAVE INCREASED IN INTENSITY OVER THE PAST HOUR ALONG THE I-70
CORRIDOR INTO NORTHWEST KS NEAR GOODLAND/COLBY KS. THIS ACTIVITY IS
OCCURRING ALONG A SOUTHWARD SAGGING BOUNDARY IN PRESENCE OF EASTERLY
UPSLOPE REGIME. FURTHER DEVELOPMENT APPEARS LIKELY ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL INTO SOUTHWEST KS REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON...WHERE THE
AMBIENT AIRMASS IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE...WITH ADJUSTED RUC SOUNDINGS
INDICATIVE OF 1000-1500 J/KG MLCAPE IN A WEAKLY CAPPED ENVIRONMENT.
PER GRANADA/RED WILLOW PROFILERS...MODEST MID LEVEL WESTERLIES ATOP
LOW LEVEL EASTERLIES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR STORM
ORGANIZATION/UPDRAFT ROTATION. IT APPEARS A WATCH COULD BE NEEDED
SOON.

..GUYER.. 06/22/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...

39400184 39440022 38369930 37209919 37150014 37200141
37650179 38290185 

WWWW





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