[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Jun 12 16:38:40 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 121637
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121636 
FLZ000-121830-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1152
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1136 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND SW PORTIONS OF THE FL PENINSULA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 466...

VALID 121636Z - 121830Z

TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM EDT FOR PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL AND SWRN FL PENINSULA.

THE TORNADO POTENTIAL APPEARS TO HAVE WEAKENED IN THE PAST HOUR AS
THE MORE CELLULAR STORMS HAVE DIMINISHED. HOWEVER...THE VAD WIND
PROFILE AT TAMPA BAY SHOWS THE LOW SHEAR...1 KM SHEAR NEAR 4O KT
...REMAINS FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES. THE MOST INTENSE CONVECTION WAS
CURRENTLY LOCATED OFF THE WEST CENTRAL FL COAST...IN THE NERN
QUADRANT OF ALBERTO. THIS CONVECTION WILL LIKELY SPREAD ONSHORE THIS
AFTERNOON FROM NEAR SRQ TO PIE. ALSO...STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG A
WEAK THERMAL BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS NORTH OF A DAB-FMY LINE.
TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 70S ARE RESULTING
IN STRONGER INSTABILITY SOUTHEAST OF THE BOUNDARY...AND THIS MAY AID
IN UPDRAFT STRENGTH/POSSIBLE TORNADOES LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

..IMY.. 06/12/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...

29178327 29458104 28468031 26418085 25548133 25888231
27678311 

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