[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 121509
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121509 
NCZ000-SCZ000-121715-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1151
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1009 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF NC/SC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 121509Z - 121715Z

MONITORING PORTIONS OF SRN/CENTRAL NC AND NRN SC FOR POSSIBLE WW BY
17-18Z.

AT 15Z...A COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED ALONG THE VA/NC BORDER...BUT A
BOUNDARY FROM YESTERDAYS CONVECTION WAS LOCATED SOUTH OF THE FRONT
AND EXTENDED NEAR A LINE FROM HKY TO FAY AND EWN. WEAK ELEVATED
CONVECTION HAD DEVELOPED NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY AROUND RDU...LIKELY
IN RESPONSE TO AN UPPER TROUGH THAT WAS MOVING SLOWLY EWD ACROSS WRN
VA/NC. SURFACE TEMPERATURES LIKELY WILL HAVE TO APPROACH 90 DEGREES
NEAR AND SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY FOR SURFACE BASED STORMS TO DEVELOP
IN THE WARM SECTOR. ONCE SURFACE BASED STORMS DEVELOP...MLCAPES
BETWEEN 1500-2000 J/KG AND MOSTLY UNIDIRECTIONAL WSWLY WINDS THROUGH
THE LOWER TROPOSPHERE MAY SUPPORT BANDS OF STORMS WITH WIND DAMAGE
AND PERHAPS MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL.

..IMY.. 06/12/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

35798136 36248032 35857874 35927581 35277570 33757895
34228103 35068188 

WWWW