[MCD] SWOMCD

Mon Jun 12 09:40:37 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 120939
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 120938 
FLZ000-121115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1149
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0438 AM CDT MON JUN 12 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...WCNTRL FL COAST

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 120938Z - 121115Z

ISOLD WATERSPOUTS/TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE SHORE FROM
NEAR FORT MYERS NWD TO TAMPA BAY AREA. A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED
ATTM.

CONVERGENCE BAND HAS BECOME BETTER DEFINED JUST OFF THE WCOAST THIS
MORNING...POSSIBLY AUGMENTED BY A WEAK LAND BREEZE.  SATL AND TAMPA
RADAR SUGGEST AN INCREASE IN TSTMS ALONG THIS CONVERGENCE BAND.  TPA
VWP EXHIBITS ABOUT 30 KTS OF SFC-1KM SHEAR FOR A STORM MOTION 200/14
KTS.  IN FACT...A COUPLE OF TSTMS OFFSHORE HAVE SHOWN LOW-LEVEL
ROTATION.

HIGHEST PROBABILITIES FOR ISOLD TORNADOES WILL REMAIN ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE COAST FROM FORT MEYERS NWD TO TAMPA BAY...WITH EVEN HIGHER
WATERSPOUT RISKS.  THE TORNADO THREAT PROBABLY WILL REMAIN CONFINED
TO THE COAST THROUGH MID-MORNING AND A WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

..RACY.. 06/12/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...TBW...

28048324 28308272 27618186 26388176 26018188 26278242 

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