[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 112315
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112314 
NCZ000-SCZ000-120045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1144
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0614 PM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...CAROLINAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 463...

VALID 112314Z - 120045Z

CONTINUE WW.  ADDITIONAL WWS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

CONVECTION CONTINUES TO DEVELOP EAST OF THE HIGHER TERRAIN...AND
ASSOCIATED COLD POOL WILL OVERSPREAD THE REMAINDER OF THE NORTH
CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA/CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT THROUGH
01-02Z.  SURFACE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION WILL ONLY SLOWLY
FALL BELOW 90F AHEAD OF OUTFLOW...AND THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT
SHOULD REMAIN SUPPORTIVE OF GUSTY WINDS UNTIL ACTIVITY PROGRESSES
INTO COOLER MARINE LAYER ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAIN LATER THIS
EVENING.

BETTER HAIL POTENTIAL SEEMS LIKELY TO REMAIN WITH STORMS DEVELOPING
ON NOSE OF STRONGER DOWNSLOPE WARMING...WEST SOUTHWEST THROUGH SOUTH
OF FAYETTEVILLE NC...DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.  AS BOUNDARY
LAYER OVER THE SOUTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT COOLS FROM THE MID
90S...LARGE HAIL THREAT IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH AS LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES STABILIZE BY 01-02Z.

..KERR.. 06/11/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

36498001 36377917 36047804 35667775 35207774 34457910
34447965 34548027 34598092 34798129 35328089 35828059
36188045 

WWWW