[MCD] SWOMCD

Sun Jun 11 23:02:54 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 112301
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112301 
OKZ000-120100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1143
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0601 PM CDT SUN JUN 11 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 112301Z - 120100Z

ISOLATED SVR STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DMGG WINDS ARE LIKELY TO
DEVELOP ALONG AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING E-W ACROSS NRN OK BY
00Z. OVERALL SVR THREAT SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY DISORGANIZED THAT
A WW IS NOT EXPECTED. 

VISIBLE SAT IMAGERY SHOWS TOWERING CU ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM NEAR GAG EWD TO NEAR SWO. VERY WARM
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 100S ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THIS BOUNDARY
HAVE WEAKENED THE CINH SUFFICIENTLY THAT WITH INCREASING CONVERGENCE
/INTENSIFYING LOW LEVEL WINDS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS/ AND
APPROACHING UPPER JET...SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED TSTM DEVELOPMENT BY
00Z. RELATIVELY WEAK VERTICAL SHEAR WILL LIMIT THE OVERALL STORM
ORGANIZATION POTENTIAL...BUT INVERTED-V TYPE SOUNDINGS /1500-2000
J/KG OF DCAPE/ ALONG WITH MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH MLCAPE AROUND
1500 J/KG SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED SVR WIND GUSTS.

..CROSBIE.. 06/11/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

36359652 36519841 36549948 36279995 36069995 35799980
35639923 35749645 

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