[MCD] SWOMCD

Sat Jun 17 02:35:21 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 170233
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170232 
OKZ000-170330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1211
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0932 PM CDT FRI JUN 16 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 170232Z - 170330Z

THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 40-50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH MCS AS IT MOVES E OF WW 495...MAINLY AFTER 03Z.  AN
ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

AS OF 0225Z...VANCE AFB RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED LEADING EDGE OF
QUASI-LINEAR MCS FROM RENO...KINGMAN AND HARPER COUNTIES IN S-CNTRL
KS SSWWD INTO ALFALFA...MAJOR...DEWEY AND BLAINE COUNTIES IN NWRN
OK.  THESE DATA INDICATE THAT ASSOCIATED GUST FRONT REMAINS QUITE
CLOSE TO PARENT CONVECTION OVER S-CNTRL KS WHERE RECENT SEVERE WIND
GUSTS/WIND DAMAGE HAVE BEEN REPORTED.  FARTHER S...GUST FRONT HAS
STARTED TO OUT RUN CONVECTIVE TOWERS BY ROUGHLY 10 MILES...
SUGGESTING THAT SYSTEM COLD POOL IS BEGINNING TO OVERWHELM AMBIENT
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR.  RECENT MESONET OBSERVATION FROM ALFALFA COUNTY
INDICATES THAT WIND GUSTS TO 40-50 MPH REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH THIS
SYSTEM AS IT PROGRESSES E OF WW 495 INTO N-CNTRL OK.

..MEAD.. 06/17/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

36629743 36899738 36959674 36879623 35969635 35749698
35979756 

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