[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 101954
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101953 
KSZ000-OKZ000-102200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1128
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0253 PM CDT SAT JUN 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...PORTIONS OF WRN...CENTRAL AND NRN OK...SCENTRAL KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101953Z - 102200Z

ISOLATED DMGG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH HIGH BASED TSTMS THAT
SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG SFC TROUGH FROM WCENTRAL OK NEWD INTO SCENTRAL
KS THROUGH 22Z. STORM MVMNT SHOULD BE EAST AROUND 10 KTS. THE
OVERALL SVR THREAT APPEARS TO BE LIMITED ENOUGH THAT A WW IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A SFC TROUGH EXTENDING FROM WCENTRAL OK /BECKHAM
COUNTY/ NEWD INTO SCENTRAL KS /RENO COUNTY/. CONVECTION WAS
DEVELOPING ALONG THIS BOUNDARY AND WHERE COOLER MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES EXISTED DUE TO MID-HIGH LEVEL REMNANT MONSOON PLUME 
AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING THROUGH WRN KS/TX PANHANDLE. VERY
WARM SFC TEMPERATURES /LOWER 100S/ EXISTED OVER WRN OK NWD INTO
SCENTRAL KS. RECENT RUC SOUNDINGS INDICATE LITTLE IF ANY CINH
REMAINING AND AROUND 1000 J/KG OF MLCAPE. MODEST LOW LEVEL WINDS
/20-25 KTS/ EXISTED IN DEEPLY MIXED THE SUB-CLOUD LAYER. COMBINED
WITH DCAPES AROUND 1500 J/KG...A THREAT FOR DMGG WINDS WILL EXIST
WITH ANY HIGH BASED TSTM ACTIVITY.

..CROSBIE.. 06/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...

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