[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed Jul 26 17:26:48 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 261724
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 261724 
NCZ000-SCZ000-261930-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1631
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1224 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF SC...FAR SRN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 261724Z - 261930Z

ISOLATED SVR STORMS WITH STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. THREAT SHOULD REMAIN TOO ISOLATED FOR A WATCH.

VIS IMAGERY SHOWS TCU DEVELOPING ACROSS SC...WITHIN AXIS OF STRONG
INSTABILITY. MODIFIED 12Z CHS SOUNDING YIELDS 2000-2500 MLCAPE WHICH
IS IN LINE WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS. THERE IS NOT ANY LARGE SCALE
SUPPORT FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION...HOWEVER...GIVEN STRONG
HEATING...EXPECT STORMS TO INCREASE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH
STEEPENING LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND THERMALS OVERCOMING RELATIVE
WARM LAYER ALOFT BETWEEN 500-600 MB. NWLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CARRY
STORMS TOWARD THE SE...WITH THREAT OF AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUST
MAINLY ACROSS ERN SC.

..JEWELL.. 07/26/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...GSP...

32068083 34328207 35148197 35107986 34247884 33747847 

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