[MCD] SWOMCD

Sun Jul 2 22:43:31 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 022244
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022243 
NYZ000-NHZ000-MAZ000-VTZ000-CTZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-030015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1420
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0543 PM CDT SUN JUL 02 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NY...WRN CT...SRN VT...WRN
MA...PA...NJ...MD...NRN VA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 572...573...

VALID 022243Z - 030015Z

LINEAR TSTM COMPLEX HAS PRODUCED AN EFFECTIVE COLD FRONT/WIND SHIFT
ARCING FROM THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY SWWD ACROSS NRN NJ/SERN PA.
ANOTHER COMPLEX OF INTENSE ACTIVITY INITIATED EARLIER NEAR
LEE/THERMAL TROUGH AXIS ACROSS THE DC AREA. EXPECT COMPLEX ACROSS
ERN PA AND NRN NJ TO CONTINUE MOVING EAST INTO INSTABILITY AXIS WITH
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL POSSIBLY ACCOMPANYING THE
PASSAGE OF THESE STORMS.

MORE ISOLATED CELLS PERSIST FROM SOUTH OF THE MOHAWK VALLEY OF NY
EWD TO SWRN VT. WHILE THESE STORMS EXIST IN AN UNSTABLE AND STRONGLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT...GENERALLY WEAK LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE AND LARGE
SCALE ASCENT APPEAR TO BE LIMITING FACTORS FOR MORE DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THESE AREAS AT THIS TIME.

BOTH WATCH 572 AND 573 WILL CONTINUE TO BE CLEARED FORM THE WEST
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

..CARBIN.. 07/02/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...PBZ...

39897376 38967874 40517902 41207741 42807550 43517304
43067235 42367299 

WWWW