[MCD] SWOMCD

[Mesoscale Convective Discussions]

ACUS11 KWNS 140210
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140210 
FLZ000-140415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0059
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0810 PM CST FRI JAN 13 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...W CENTRAL FL

CONCERNING...CONVECTIVE TRENDS 

VALID 140210Z - 140415Z

CONVECTIVE TRENDS ARE BEING MONITORED AS STORMS MOVE INLAND AND A WW
COULD BE REQUIRED IF STORMS INTENSIFY.

LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE ASHORE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. 00Z TBW
SOUNDING INDICATES SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY AND SHEAR FOR SUPERCELLS
ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL WINDS CONTINUE TO VEER WITH TIME. PRESSURES
CONTINUE TO FALL OVER N CENTRAL FL AHEAD OF THIS LINE...AND LOW
LEVEL CONVERGENCE WILL REMAIN A FOCUS. LEAD LEFT MOVER HAS
MAINTAINED INTENSITY AS IT HAS TREKKED ACROSS NRN FL THIS EVENING.
IF STORMS CAN MAINTAIN INTENSITY...THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT WOULD
LIKELY BE LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS...EITHER FROM OUTFLOW OR IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ANY MESOCYCLONES. LOW LEVEL SHEAR MAY BE SUFFICIENT
FOR A TORNADO IF STORMS MAINTAIN INTENSITY.

..JEWELL.. 01/14/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

29128297 29288275 29328220 29328156 28228213 28008236
27908356 28748320 

WWWW