[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Jan 13 18:02:16 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 131803
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 131803 
INZ000-ILZ000-132300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0052
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1203 PM CST FRI JAN 13 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN IL / EXTREME NWRN IN

CONCERNING...PRECIPITATION TRENDS...WINTER PRECIPITATION 

VALID 131803Z - 132300Z

PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW BY 19Z INTO
FAR NERN IL...WITH MDT TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL RATES OF 0.50-1.00
IN/HR THROUGH ABOUT 21Z. ALTHOUGH GROUND TEMPERATURES ARE RELATIVELY
WARM...SOME ACCUMULATION MAY OCCUR DURING HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION
RATES.

DEEPENING LOW WILL COOL COLUMN AND ALLOW FOR RAIN OVER FAR NERN IL
TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW BY ABOUT 19Z. HEAVIER BAND OF PRECIPITATION
ASSOCIATED WITH BAND OF FRONTOGENETIC FORCING WILL PERSIST OVER NERN
IL FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. HRLY RAIN AMOUNTS BETWEEN 16-17Z INDICATE
UP TO 0.12 IN POSSIBLE PER HR...WITH 0.05-0.08 IN GENERAL. THIS
SHOULD CORRESPOND TO HEAVY WET SNOW RATES OF 0.50 - 1.00 IN/HR.

..JEWELL.. 01/13/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LOT...ILX...

41958724 40898755 40238813 39888842 39878902 40038940
40678930 41618876 42098835 42318799 42378737 

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