[MCD] SWOMCD

Fri Jan 13 03:51:08 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 130352
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130352 
ARZ000-MOZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-130515-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0045
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0952 PM CST THU JAN 12 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN OK/SRN MO/WRN AR/NERN TX/NWRN LA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 13...

VALID 130352Z - 130515Z

LINE OF STRONG/SEVERE STORMS CONTINUES MOVING EWD ACROSS THE WRN
HALF OF WW.

SQUALL LINE -- WITH EMBEDDED LEWPS/BOWS AND LOCALLY ROTATING
UPDRAFTS -- IS ONGOING ATTM FROM SWRN MO SSWWD INTO NERN TX.  THE
STORMS ARE OCCURRING AHEAD OF UPPER TROUGH/ALONG SURFACE
FRONT...WHERE WARM SECTOR DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 50S TO NEAR 60 ARE
CONTRIBUTING TO 500 TO 1000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE.  

THOUGH STORMS APPEAR TO BE SURFACE-BASED OR NEARLY SO...OBSERVED
SEVERE WEATHER HAS REMAINED IN THE FORM OF HAIL THUS FAR. 
NONETHELESS...WITH 41 KT 0-1 KM SHEAR AND 451 M2/S2 0-1 KM SREH PER
LATEST DEQUEEN AR PROFILER...THE THREAT FOR A COUPLE OF TORNADOES AS
WELL AS LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS CONTINUES.

..GOSS.. 01/13/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...SHV...TSA...FWD...

36939312 36399144 32069343 32099635 32389644 34349458 

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