[MCD] SWOMCD

Wed Jan 11 18:35:30 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 111835
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 111835 
MEZ000-112330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0041
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CST WED JAN 11 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN ME

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 

VALID 111835Z - 112330Z

FREEZING RAIN WITH RATES RANGING FROM 0.05-0.1 INCH PER 3 HOUR
PERIOD IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS NRN ME BETWEEN 21-00Z.

LATEST MESO-ANALYSES INDICATED A SURFACE BOUNDARY LOCATED INLAND
OVER SRN ME...GENERALLY EXTENDING FROM FRANKLIN TO WASHINGTON
COUNTIES.  SURFACE TEMPERATURES NORTH OF THIS BOUNDARY HAVE
INCREASED INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AOB 32F
THROUGH 00Z.  ALTHOUGH 12Z SOUNDINGS INDICATED A RATHER DRY AIR MASS
ACROSS ME...CONTINUED WAA/ISENTROPIC ASCENT THIS AFTERNOON ALONG/N
OF SURFACE BOUNDARY...AND SOME INCREASE IN LARGE SCALE ASCENT AHEAD
OF THE OH VALLEY/GREAT LAKES TROUGH WILL LIKELY AID IN MOISTENING.
THIS LOW-LEVEL WAA WILL ALSO RESULT IN A WARM LAYER JUST ABOVE THE
SURFACE AND MOST PRONOUNCED FROM 850-950 MB TO SUPPORT A PTYPE FOR
FREEZING RAIN.

LIGHT PRECIPITATION UPSTREAM OVER SERN ONTARIO TO FAR SRN QUEBEC IS
EXPECTED TO SPREAD ENEWD INTO NRN ME LATER THIS AFTERNOON WITH RATES
UP TO 0.1 INCH PER 3 HOUR EXPECTED TOWARD 00Z.

..PETERS.. 01/11/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

45666763 45366887 45617064 46627018 47536922 47316777 

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