[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Jan 10 18:42:09 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 101842
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101842 
TNZ000-KYZ000-101945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0037
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1242 PM CST TUE JAN 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN INTO PARTS OF MIDDLE TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 101842Z - 101945Z

A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS WRN INTO PARTS OF
MIDDLE TN DURING THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED A LINE OF STORMS OVER SWRN TN /CURRENTLY
LOCATED OVER WRN HAYWOOD TO FAYETTE COUNTIES/. THIS LINE OF STORMS
WAS MOVING NEWD AT 35-40 KT ALONG A WARM FRONT/INSTABILITY GRADIENT
WHICH EXTENDED FROM A SURFACE LOW NEAR MEM NEWD TO NERN TN.  DESPITE
WEAK AVAILABLE INSTABILITY...A SWLY 50 KT LLJ PER MEMPHIS VAD
SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE GUST TO REACH THE
SURFACE PER DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSFER.  ANY ADDITIONAL LINE
SEGMENTS THAT DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD HAVE A SIMILAR THREAT
POTENTIAL.  HOWEVER...GIVEN THE WEAK INSTABILITY...A WIDESPREAD
SEVERE THREAT IS NOT EXPECTED...AND THUS IS EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE
ISSUANCE OF A WW.

..PETERS.. 01/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OHX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

35748941 36068939 36428884 36568739 36558675 35298668
35068774 35018929 

WWWW