[MCD] SWOMCD

Tue Jan 10 12:32:55 UTC 2006

ACUS11 KWNS 101233
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 101232 
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-101630-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0035
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0632 AM CST TUE JAN 10 2006

AREAS AFFECTED...SE KS...NE OK...WRN AND CNTRL MO

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW 

VALID 101232Z - 101630Z

PERIODIC HEAVY SNOW WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING ACROSS NE OK...SE KS
AND WRN MO. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE HEAVIER SNOWBANDS.

SFC ANALYSIS CURRENTLY SHOWS A SFC LOW OVER AR WITH AN INVERTED
TROUGH EXTENDING NWWD ACROSS SW MO INTO SE KS. ISENTROPIC LIFT IS
MAXIMIZED ACROSS SE KS AND NE OK IN THE LEFT EXIT REGION OF A JET
MAX NEAR 700 MB. ACROSS SW MO...TEMPS ARE IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S F
AND SHOULD HOVER NEAR OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY. JUST ABOVE THE SFC...STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION SHOULD ALLOW
PRECIPITATION TO CHANGE OVER TO ALL SNOW AS THE UPPER-LEVEL SYSTEM
OVER OK DRIFTS ENEWD. THE HEAVIEST SNOWBANDS SHOULD BE NORTH AND
NORTHWEST OF THE 850 MB LOW WHICH IS CURRENTLY NEAR TULSA AND SHOULD
SHIFT NEWD INTO SCNTRL MO BY THIS AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL WILL INCREASE
ACROSS ERN KS AND WRN MO THIS MORNING WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2
INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER BANDS. SNOWFALL SHOULD
GRADUALLY LIGHTEN ACROSS SE KS AND NE OK BY THIS AFTERNOON AS THE
WRAP PRECIPITATION SPREADS ENEWD ACROSS WRN MO.

..BROYLES.. 01/10/2006

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...

38109567 38799420 39259259 38889165 38129146 37319237
36549427 36119588 36429662 37419669 

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